Brazil drought lights a fire under global coffee prices

  • News
  • January 21, 2025

The 54-year-old was one of hundreds of farmers hit by a brutal forest fire in Sao Paulo state, where years of soaring heat and erratic rains are set to drive up the cost of an espresso or latte far afield in Paris, New York or Tokyo.

Brazil, the world’s largest coffee producer and exporter, experienced its hottest year on record in 2024 and a record number of forest fires.

Locals in the municipality of Caconde believe the fire broke out due to uncontrolled burning of garbage, but experts attribute its scale to drought conditions exacerbated by climate change.

“It was desperate: seeing the flames advance, destroying our plantation, coming within twenty meters of my house,” said Donizetti.

His family fought the fire for four days on the remote farm in the mountains of the Atlantic Forest, losing five hectares (12 acres) of coffee — a third of the family’s production area.

Standing alongside scorched and blackened coffee crops, he estimates his land will take three or four years to produce again.

The loss is compounded by several years of unpredictable weather and disappointing harvests in Brazil.

“For about five years it has been too dry, sometimes it doesn’t rain for months,” said Donizetti. “It has also gotten a lot hotter, it is unbearable.”

Invest more to produce less

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